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Tuesday, August 18, 2026

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Market Commentary

EV Interest Climbs as Gas Price Uncertainty Pushes Families Toward Electric SUVs

Ongoing uncertainty in global oil prices is driving U.S. consumers toward electric vehicles, particularly family-friendly electric SUVs. As gasoline prices fluctuate, families are increasingly considering the long-term savings associated with EV ownership, which is becoming more affordable due to advancements in technology and production. In the first quarter of this year, EV sales saw a notable increase, reflecting a 16% rise in interest for new electric vehicles and a similar trend for used models. This shift in consumer behavior signals a potential long-term decline in gasoline demand, which could exert downward pressure on oil prices as the market adjusts to changing consumption patterns. As more families opt for electric SUVs, the demand for gasoline may further diminish, impacting refinery operations and inventory levels. Additionally, this trend could influence OPEC's production strategies, as member countries may need to reassess their output in light of decreasing global oil consumption. Investors should closely monitor these developments, as a sustained increase in EV adoption could reshape the energy landscape and alter traditional oil market dynamics. The interplay between rising EV interest and fluctuating oil prices will be crucial in determining future energy investments and strategies. As the market evolves, the implications for oil prices and energy stocks could be significant, warranting careful analysis and consideration.

Market Commentary

Some Diesel Analysts Are Warning of a Supply Crunch Nobody in Washington Is Talking About. Here Is What Holds Up, and What It Could Mean for Q4.

Diesel analysts are raising alarms about a potential supply crunch that could significantly impact the market in the fourth quarter. Despite crude oil prices remaining below $100 a barrel and appearing stable, diesel fuel costs are on the rise, indicating a disconnect that warrants attention. This situation is largely driven by the diesel crack spread, which reflects the profitability of refining crude oil into diesel. A tightening crack spread suggests that refiners are facing challenges in meeting diesel demand, which could lead to higher prices at the pump. As we approach winter, demand for diesel typically increases due to heating needs and transportation requirements, further straining supply. Additionally, any disruptions in refinery operations or maintenance could exacerbate the situation, leading to tighter inventories. Investors should be cautious, as a supply crunch could push diesel prices higher, impacting transportation costs and inflation. The current dynamics suggest that while crude prices may appear calm, the underlying fundamentals for diesel are shifting. This could create volatility in energy markets, particularly if the anticipated supply issues materialize. Stakeholders should monitor refinery capacity and inventory levels closely, as these factors will be critical in determining the trajectory of diesel prices in the coming months.

Company NewsAugust 18, 2026

Volt Carbon Advances Graphite-to-Graphene and Expandable Graphite Manufacturing Platform

(TSXV: VCT) (OTCQB: TORVF) Volt Carbon Technologies Inc. has developed a flexible downstream manufacturing process at its Guelph, Ontario facility and has produced multiple batches of graphene oxide and expandable graphite for product trials. The process is designed to operate downstream from Volt's proprietary air classification technology and can be configured to produce either graphene oxide or expandable graphite. Volt has advanced its graphene manufacturing process from approximately five-layer reduced graphene oxide to approximately three graphene layers, as indicated by recent XRD characterization at University of Waterloo laboratories. Independent testing by ProGraphite GmbH of graphite processed using Volt's dry separation technology achieved an expansion rate of 325 mL/g and approximately 98.5% carbon after expansion. Additional equipment ordered to support batch-scale production of graphene-based materials and expandable graphite has arrived at Volt's Guelph facility and is being incorporated into the Company's downstream processing capabilities. In previous epoxy testing, a 0.5% loading of graphene represents approximately 5 kg per tonne of finished composite. Volt Carbon holds mineral interests in Quebec and British Columbia, Canada, and operates facilities supporting both carbon material processing and battery technology development.

Market CommentaryAugust 18, 2026

Forget $91 Brent, the Real Crisis is $170 Diesel

The assertion that $170 diesel represents a more pressing crisis than $91 Brent underscores a significant divergence in the oil market that could have profound implications for energy prices and the broader economy. Diesel, a critical fuel for transportation and industry, is experiencing a dramatic price surge that reflects not only supply constraints but also a growing demand for cleaner fuels in Europe, where regulations are tightening. This disconnect between crude oil prices and refined product prices suggests that while Brent may appear stable, the underlying market dynamics are far more precarious, driven by refinery capacity limitations and geopolitical tensions that disrupt supply chains. As diesel prices escalate, the cost of goods and transportation will inevitably rise, leading to inflationary pressures that could stifle economic growth. Moreover, the high diesel prices may prompt a shift in consumption patterns, pushing industries to seek alternative energy sources or invest in efficiency improvements, which could alter demand dynamics in the longer term. The situation is further complicated by OPEC's production decisions, which may prioritize crude output over refined products, exacerbating the diesel supply crunch. As European economies grapple with these rising costs, the potential for social unrest and political backlash increases, particularly in a region already sensitive to energy prices. Investors should closely monitor these developments, as sustained high diesel prices could trigger a reevaluation of energy strategies across sectors, influencing everything from transportation to manufacturing. Ultimately, the focus on diesel prices reveals a critical vulnerability in the energy market that could reshape the landscape for oil investors and policymakers alike.

Market CommentaryAugust 18, 2026

Gulf Oil is Escaping the Strait of Hormuz

The ability of Gulf oil producers to circumvent the Strait of Hormuz represents a significant shift in the dynamics of global oil transportation and security, with profound implications for energy prices and market stability. As the Strait remains a critical chokepoint, responsible for approximately 20% of the world’s oil supply, any disruption there can lead to immediate price spikes and heightened geopolitical tensions. By developing alternative routes, such as overland pipelines and expanded port facilities, Gulf producers are attempting to mitigate the risks associated with potential blockades or military conflicts in the region. However, this diversification strategy introduces new vulnerabilities, as these alternative routes may not be as secure or efficient, potentially leading to increased transportation costs and logistical challenges. Furthermore, while this move could temporarily stabilize supply chains, it might also embolden regional adversaries to escalate tensions, knowing that traditional routes are less relied upon. In the short term, oil prices will experience volatility as markets react to these developments, with traders closely monitoring geopolitical signals and infrastructure security. Long-term, the shift could reshape OPEC's production strategies and influence global supply-demand balances, particularly if Gulf states can maintain consistent output levels without relying heavily on the Strait. The broader macroeconomic picture could also be affected, as changes in transportation dynamics may influence refining margins and the competitiveness of different crude grades. Ultimately, while bypassing the Strait of Hormuz may provide a tactical advantage, it also underscores the ongoing complexities and risks inherent in the geopolitics of oil, suggesting that investors should remain vigilant in assessing both physical supply routes and the political landscapes that govern them.